Roads to victory: How Nate Diaz can pull off a miraculous upset at UFC 279

Roads to victory: How Nate Diaz can pull off a miraculous upset at UFC 279

This Saturday the UFC returns with another pay-per-view event, UFC 279headlined by a welterweight bout between Khamzat Chimaev Y Nate Diaz. Chimaev enters the fight as a prohibitive favorite, and since this is the final fight on Diaz’s current UFC contract, many see this as the UFC’s attempt to send their future star to a loss. Still, Diaz will enter the cage on Saturday looking to win, and this being MMA, anything can happen. So let’s take a look at what each man must do to win this marquee matchup, the X factors at play, and ultimately what will happen on fight night.


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Roads to victory for Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 279

There’s a reason many see this as a squash match, and it’s mainly because Chimaev appears to be the real deal. Bursting onto the scene in 2020, Chimaev posted four dominant wins in which he only got hit once in total. After stepping up in competition against former welterweight title challenger Gilbert Burns, where Chimaev overcame some adversity to secure a victory, “Borz” cemented himself as a force to be reckoned with and a legitimate title threat.

Against Diaz, he probably won’t need to overcome adversity, but it’s nice to know he can if he has to.

Chimaev has often been called “welterweight Khabib Nurmagomedov” because of his combination of grip and power, and the comparison isn’t terrible. Chimaev rose to the top of the welterweight division on the back of dominant wrestling and raw physique, roughing up other welterweights and middleweights.

Most of the time, he simply knocks his opponents to the ground, where he unloads a vicious superior control game on them, hammering his way to victory. But he has also shown good foot power and decent instincts as a striker. He’s certainly not a coach in that area, but he’s willing, he’s tough and he throws really hard, which is very helpful.

As the -1000+ favorite, the truth is that Chimaev can win this fight any way he wants. But by far the most convenient path to victory is for “Borz” to do what he does best and “crush”. Diaz has never been much of a defensive fighter, and is generally content to play on his back and work guard, which has an extremely slim chance of posing a serious threat. If Chimaev comes out with the sole intention of winning in the most dominant way possible, he can score takedowns and pummel Diaz for as long as the referee allows, and there really isn’t much Diaz can do to stop him.


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Roads to victory for Nate Diaz at UFC 279

So if Chimaev has that much of an advantage in this fight, how does Nate beat him? Paraphrase a knight’s tale, “with a stick, while sleeping”. Seriously, it’s hard to imagine a world where Diaz wins this fight that doesn’t turn out like crazy Diaz fan fiction, but let’s try.

For all of Diaz’s grappling ability, he really isn’t very dangerous from behind. Aside from Conor McGregor’s club-and-sub, Diaz hasn’t beaten anyone since Jim Miller’s guillotine a decade ago, and he’s been beaten constantly by people who can top him. Chimaev can certainly do that, which is why Diaz needs to find a way to stop Chimaev from trying to do it, and the best way I can think of is to be Nate Diaz: wasting time, questioning Chimaev’s manhood, and generally trying to egg him on. to beat. battle. And honestly, it could work.

In his fight with Burns, Chimaev showed that he is willing to give up a smart game plan to fight, and that is critical to Diaz being successful in this fight. If Diaz spends fight week trash talking Chimaev about wrestling and then hits him with a Stockton Slap during the actual fight, Chimaev could be exactly the kind of person who would lose in that particular mind war. If Diaz can goad Chimaev into going for the KO on the feet, things become much more interesting, because on the feet, Diaz has ways to win.

Diaz is a far cry from his most dangerous self right now, but he is incredibly durable, has solid boxing and will never give up. That’s why he almost upset Leon Edwards (now the welterweight champion), because he was just still fighting as hard at minute 24 as he was at minute 1. Chimaev has also shown that he is tough and doesn’t give up, but 25 minutes it is not. 15, and “Borz” was pretty out of breath after a tough fight with Burns. If Diaz can pull off the same kind of junk, only with 10 more minutes, then he could find a finish in the championship rounds.


X Factors

The real X factor for this fight is whether Chimaev fights smart or not. If he does it, he will win, and that is almost a certainty. If he doesn’t, he can still win, but Diaz at least has a chance to pull off an upset. It’s all a matter of whether the Burns fight was indicative of who Chimaev is as a fighter, or if that was just a one off.


Prediction

It would be the story of the year if Nate Diaz, in his final fight in the UFC and with the incredibly high stacks stacked against him, pulled off the upset of the year and left the promotion with a win here. But sadly, that seems impossible. Even the best version of Nate Diaz loses this fight, and the best years of him are already gone. I expect this to be one-way traffic from the jump, and while Diaz is incredibly tough, at some point the unstoppable force will break him, whether it’s from a cut or the corner of him deciding enough is enough.

Khamzat Chimaev def. Nate Diaz via TKO (punches) at 3:05 of Round 3

Poll

Who wins?

  • 51%

    Khamzat Chimaev

    (157 votes)


306 total votes

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Source : www.mmafighting.com

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About the Author: Pierre Cohen

A person who has expertise in politics and writes articles to fill his spare time as a hobby.